GREY SKIES ARE GONNA CLEAR UP

Flood zone businesses reporting brisk August traffic
Owners relieved by customers’ return
By Amanda Stephenson
Calgary Herald August 14, 2013

CALGARY - In the immediate aftermath of the June flood, Vine Arts was not a busy place.

The Victoria Park wine and spirits store had no water damage, but its regular customers — residents of the many highrise condos and apartments in the neighbourhood — had been evacuated. They weren’t out shopping, and people from other parts of the city weren’t venturing into the flood zone either.

“It was definitely slower. People weren’t sure if we were open or if the street was open,” said Vine Arts owner Jesse Willis.

Fast forward less than two months, and it’s a different story. The shop’s customers have returned, and then some.

“Our sales are really strong, even higher than expected or projected,” Willis said.

Vine Arts’ experience is not unique. Shopping and dining districts around the city — from Inglewood to Kensington to Chinatown — are reporting a strong August so far.

“The general consensus is things are as good, or even a little better, than can be expected. August is usually a slow time for everybody, but it seems like there’s just a little bit more activity around than what people normally experience,” said David Low, executive director of the Victoria Park Business Revitalization Zone.

The extra traffic comes as both a surprise and a relief. Calgary Economic Development estimates 4,000 businesses were affected in some way by the June flooding. Even businesses that experienced no water damage suffered due to prolonged power outages or a simple lack of customers.

“Many of our small businesses lost $10,000, $20,000, even $30,000 in revenue,” said Mary Moran, vice-president of marketing and communication for Calgary Economic Development. “Even though a lot of them were open, they were seeing traffic returning at a very slow rate ... Even in early July, we had some people who were reporting up to a 45 per cent decrease (in sales) year over year.”

Moran said there are likely several reasons traffic might be up in August — including the fact that some flood-affected Calgarians likely cancelled their summer vacations and stayed closer to home this year. Weary of cleaning out basements, they’re finally taking the time to go out to eat and socialize again.

However, Moran said she also hopes businesses are also benefiting from the Rediscover Our City campaign, a massive advertising blitz launched by Calgary Economic Development in late July to drive visitor traffic to flood-affected neighbourhoods.

The campaign — which will soon start promoting communities outside of Calgary like Bragg Creek and High River — aims to clear up misperceptions about the state of certain areas. On social media, the campaign goes by the hashtag #yycisopen.

“We needed to encourage people — give them the confidence that there is enough open for them to have an enjoyable time,” Moran said.

Low said he thinks a lot of Calgarians are being driven by a sense of community to support local businesses that have been through a tough time.

“I think the flood has kicked the idea of supporting local into people’s consciousness just a little bit higher,” he said.

Photo By: Carl Delzer

SHAPING UP

Calgary leads nation in building permit growth

June value up 16.6% from May

BY MARIO TONEGUZZI 

CALGARY HERALDAUGUST 8, 2013

CALGARY — Calgary saw the country’s largest increase in June in the total value of building permits, according to Statistics Canada.

The federal agency reported Wednesday that estimated building permit value was $537.7 million for the Calgary region, up 16.6 per cent from May and a year-over-year hike of 36.0 per cent.

“Following a 41.0 per cent decline in May, the value of permits issued in Calgary advanced largely as a result of higher construction intentions for commercial buildings and multi-family dwellings,” it said.

Tom Dixon, business development manager for real estate and logistics with Calgary Economic Development, said there has been an increase in activity recently in the non-residential sector in Calgary.

“The principal factor is there is a very low vacancy rate and there’s low availability in both the industrial portfolio and in downtown office space. The Class A office space in particular is in very short supply,” said Dixon.

According to Statistics Canada, the residential sector in Calgary saw a 3.7 per cent increase in building permits from May to $344.5 million while the non-residential sector was up 49.65 per cent to $193.2 million.

In Alberta, total building permits of $1.4 billion were down 0.4 per cent on a monthly basis but up 24.3 per cent year-over-year.

The residential sector in the province saw a monthly decrease of 10.4 per cent to $757.9 million. However, that was up 15.8 per cent from last year.

The non-residential sector in Alberta jumped to $645.4 million, up 14.7 per cent from May and a hike of 36.1 per cent from June 2012.

Todd Hirsch, chief economist with ATB Financial, said a dip in residential permits in June in Alberta was almost exactly offset by a rise in non-residential permits.

“Residential building in our province has been consistently strong in 2013, so a small pull-back, as occurred in June, is neither unusual or cause for alarm,” he said. “The steady inflow of job-seeking migrants to the province this year has kept the demand for housing at a healthy level.”

He said non-residential building permits are much more volatile month-to-month but in June developers in the province continued to find market opportunities in office buildings, stores and restaurants.

“Building permits are an excellent forward-looking indicator of the actual construction activity that can be expected in the coming months,” added Hirsch. “The overall message . . . is that Alberta’s construction sector remains in excellent shape.”

Across Canada, contractors took out building permits worth $6.6 billion in June, down 10.3 per cent from May and the first decrease in six months. It was also off 4.8 per cent from June 2012.

After three consecutive monthly increases, the total value of permits in the residential sector declined 12.9 per cent to $4.0 billion in June. That was also down 10.8 per cent from a year ago.

In the non-residential sector, the total value of building permits decreased 6.1 per cent to $2.7 billion in June. But that was up 5.8 per cent from last year.

BALANCE IN JUNE

Fewer home resales in June in a more balanced market: real estate association
By LuAnn LaSalle
The Canadian Press July 16, 2012

The number of Canadian homes sold last month dropped more than four per cent from the level in June 2011, the first year-over-year decline in sales volume since April 2011, the Canadian Real Estate Association said Monday.

Resales of homes were also down 1.3 per cent in June from May — the second month-to-month decline — with a total of 46,444 transactions through CREA members. That was down from 48,591 in June 2011, the association said.

"Canada's housing market lost a little altitude in June, but it's still flying pretty high," association president Wayne Moen said in a news release.

"That said, sales activity and average prices bucked the national easing trend in a number of markets, which underscores that all real estate is local," Moen said.

The national average home price in June was $369,339, down 0.8 per cent from the same month last year, CREA said.

Prices increased in Calgary, remained strong in Toronto and continued to slow in Vancouver.

However, CREA said its MLS Home Price Index — which the association says is a better measure because it adjusts for different types of properties sold — increased 5.1 per cent between May and June 2012.

There have been several reports saying some real estate markets and some types of housing are over valued, although there's a range of opinions about how much and how quickly prices will decline.

Economists and consumers have been closely watching for signs that demand has softened to the point where prices will start going down.

But the association, which represents real-estate boards and associations that handle most of the country's property transactions through the MLS system, said Monday the decline in sales activity and an increase in new listings resulted in a "more balanced" national housing market in June.

The number of newly listed homes rose 1.4 per cent in June compared to May, led by the Toronto market. Some 42 local markets, out of 100 markets across the country, registered a monthly increase in new listings of at least one per cent, the association said.

RBC senior economist Robert Hogue noted the resale market eased again in June but the number of homes newly listed for sale rose 1.4 per cent last month.

"Market conditions, therefore, eased a little, providing more breathing room for Canadian buyers," Hogue said in a research note.

"Despite this easing, the demand-supply equation continued to be balanced in the majority of markets in Canada. The previously tight Toronto market became much more balanced, whereas the Vancouver market inched closer to conditions favouring buyers," Hogue said.

In the first half of 2012, a total of 257,193 homes traded hands over Canadian MLS Systems, up 4.7 per cent from the same period in 2011.

Gregory Klump, CREA's chief economist, said home buyers didn't rush to make purchases before the latest restrictions on mortgage regulations came into effect in July.

"That's a big change compared to what we saw as a response to previously announced changes," Klump said.

"It will take some time before the compound effect of previous and recent changes to regulations on Canada's housing market becomes apparent."

Hogue also said that going forward this year he expects home resales to ease in light of the latest mortgage restrictions.

"This moderation trend will become more entrenched next year when we expect the Bank of Canada to begin normalizing its interest rate policy."

Under new mortgage rules announced in June by Finance Minister Jim Flaherty, borrowers will be allowed to use up to 80 per cent of their property's value as collateral for home-equity loans, down from 85 per cent.

In addition, the maximum amortization period dropped to 25 years from 30 years for government insured mortgages.

Flaherty also said government-backed mortgage insurance will be limited to homes with a purchase price of less than $1 million.

Photo By: the past tends to disappear

MARKET BLOOMS

City's housing market blooms in June
Condo market posts first gain of the year
By Mario Toneguzzi, Calgary Herald
July 5, 2011

Calgary's residential real estate market experienced a significant late spring upswing.

Single-family MLS sales last month finished up 32 per cent, to 1,398 homes, from June 2010's 1,059 transactions, according to data released Monday by the Calgary Real Estate Board.

Condo sales -up almost 31 per cent -were up year-overyear for the first time since April 2010. The real estate board recorded 581 sales last month, compared to 445 in June 2010.

While sale prices continue to lag and 2011 sales are up only two per cent over the first six months of 2010, the late spring swoon has brought tempered optimism of a continued turnaround.

"We had a late spring maret this year. It's all starting to come together in June," said Sano Stante, president of the Calgary Real Estate Board.

"Last year we had an exuberant market early on and it died in June.

"So to draw comparisons year-to-year for that month shows an exaggeration of the trend."

The average sale price for a single-family home in June remained almost flat, falling to $479,580 from $481,960 a year ago.

Condominium prices, on average, rose to $296,501, the highest since May 2010, from $292,182.

On a year-to-date basis, single-family home sales for the first six months are up more than 5.5 per cent, while condo sales are down almost five per cent.

"Strong monthly increases does not imply a housing boom, as it is important to put into perspective that sales activity remains below longterm averages," the real estate board said in a statement.

However, there are signs the local housing market is starting to find its footing, said Stante.

"This gradual levelling has been fuelled by growth in employment, and in particular growth in full-time jobs," he said.

Improved job prospects, combined with an increase in the number of people moving to Calgary, will give lift to our housing market for the remainder of this year and into the next."

Dan Sumner, an economist with ATB Financial in Calgary, said a year-over-year comparison may be misleading as to the strength of the Calgary housing market given that June is often one of the busiest months for sales, even though the same month last year was abnormally slow.

"Fuelling sales is a stronger economy specifically in Alberta, which feeds through into consumer confidence and that's making Albertans more comfortable with home purchases again," he said, adding low interest rates are also luring buyers.

LIVING UNDER JUNE

Construction of new homes in Calgary soared in June
By Mario Toneguzzi,
Calgary Herald July 9, 2010

CALGARY - Housing starts in the Calgary census metropolitan area soared in June compared with a year ago.

According to preliminary data released today by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp., total starts during the month were 685, up by 57.8 per cent from June 2009.

Single-detached starts jumped to 531 from 374 last year, a 42 per cent hike while multiple-family starts rose by nearly 157 per cent from 60 in June 2009 to 154 last month.

To the end of June housing starts have increased in both categories year-to-date. There have been 4,617 total starts in the first half of this year compared wtih 1,981 for the same period a year ago. In the single-detached category, starts have increased from 1,549 last year to 3,335 this year while the multi-family category has seen a rise from 432 last year to 1,282 this year.

"This marks the 12th consecutive month where single-detached starts have increased on a year-over-year basis," said Richard Cho, senior market analyst for Calgary for the CMHC. "Builders in the last several months have taken the opportunity to replenish their inventory levels."

But Cho added that the year-over-year gains have started to moderate.

He said that despite the rise in multi-family production activity so far this year is behind last year's level.

"Elevated apartment inventories have contributed to fewer apartment projects breaking ground, keeping multi-family production below historial averages," said Cho.

In Alberta's seven largest cities, housing starts increased 33 per cent in June from 1,446 units in 2009 to 1,926 last month.