STARTING JULY 9, 2012

Ottawa tightens mortgage rules to avert household debt crisis
By Jason Fekete
Postmedia News Jun 21, 2012

OTTAWA — The federal government is moving once again to tighten mortgage-lending rules amid lingering concerns about an overheated housing market and rising household debt levels.

In a decision called for by some of the big banks — and one that’s expected to soften housing prices — Finance Minister Jim Flaherty announced Thursday the federal government is reducing the maximum amortization period for a government-insured mortgage to 25 years from 30 years.

It’s the third time the Harper government has reduced the maximum amortization period in the last four years, after it initially increased the lengths of mortgage terms to make it easier for Canadians to purchase homes.

The government has since ratcheted it back from 40 years to 35 in 2008, and then further reduced it to 30 years in 2011.

Banks will still be allowed to offer 30-year amortization periods on low-ratio mortgages that include a downpayment of 20% or more.

The changes will see the government lower the maximum Canadians can borrow against their home to 80% of its value, from 85%, in an effort to encourage them to keep more equity in their homes.

As well, under the new rules, to qualify for a mortgage loan Canadians can spend a maximum of 39% of their gross household income on home expenses such as mortgage, property taxes and heating, and a maximum 44 per cent of income on housing expenses and all other debt.

Flaherty also announced Ottawa will limit government-backed insured mortgages to home purchases of less than $1-million.

A downpayment of at least 20% will be required on mortgage loans for homes priced at or above $1-million.

Reducing the amortization period will increase monthly payments, but reduce the amount of total interest paid on a mortgage. Ottawa expects the change from a 30-year to 25-year amortization will, on a $350,000 mortgage loan at four per cent, increase the monthly payment $177 but reduce total interest costs by nearly $47,000.

The government believes less than five per cent of home buyers will be affected by the clampdown.

The new rules take effect July 9, 2012.

“We watch carefully, we monitor the market carefully. I remain concerned about parts of the Canadian residential real estate market, particularly in Toronto, but not only in Toronto, so that is why we are intervening once again,” Flaherty told reporters in Ottawa.

“It’s our job to try to be ahead of things and act in a measured way, listening to the market. And I have been listening to the market, and quite frankly, I don’t like what I hear, particularly in the condo market.”

Flaherty said the government’s moves are part of an effort to “moderate behaviour” among Canadian homeowners and make them reflect before jumping into the housing market at the high end.

Canada’s largest city is seeing continuous home building because of persistent demand, he noted, which is accelerating prices and eroding affordability.

“This concerns me because it’s distorting the market, quite frankly,” the minister added. “My judgment is that we need to calm particularly the condo market in a few Canadian cities.”

Statistics Canada reported last week that the ratio of Canadian household debt-to-income continued increasing in the first quarter, to 152 per cent from 150.6 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2011. That came on the heels of a warning from the Bank of Canada that high household debt levels remain the most important domestic risk to financial stability.

Opposition parties said Thursday the Harper government, with its changes to mortgage rules, is simply retreating from its own decision to ramp up the amortization to 40 years after taking power in 2006.

“This is Mr. Flaherty versus Mr. Flaherty. He has done all of this. He’s the guy who has let it go up and is now bringing it dramatically down again. We are now at the same situation we were — what do you know, 2006 — where we had 25-year mortgages,” said interim Liberal leader Bob Rae.

“There’s going to be a real issue as to exactly what message this is sending to markets and what impacts it will have.”

Flaherty and some of the country’s leading economists have for months been warning that they remain worried about Canada’s housing market and rising household debt.

In March, prior to delivering the federal budget, Flaherty met with 13 private-sector economists for his traditional pre-budget consultation to get their assessment of the Canadian economy.

Some of the big banks suggested at the time the federal government consider implementing “measured actions,” such as reducing the maximum amortization period for government-insured mortgages back to the traditional 25 years.

On Thursday, the banks largely welcomed the measures.

“Overall we see (Thursday’s) announcement as a much better substitute to interest rate hikes since the moves are aimed with almost surgical precision at the margins of the mortgage market,” Benjamin Tal with CIBC World Markets said in a research note.

“The combined impact of the four changes will not be large enough to derail the housing market, but are clearly significant enough to soften activity, and at the margin will act as a negative for house prices —mainly at the mid-range segment of the market.”

Frank Techar, president of personal and commercial banking at BMO Financial Group, called the changes “prudent, measured, responsible, timely.”

“Minister Flaherty has tapped the brakes at precisely the right time and his actions should help ensure Canada’s housing market experiences a soft landing,” Techar said in a statement.

ON GUARD FOR THEE?

Canada stands ready to tighten mortgage rules: Flaherty
By Randall Palmer
Reuters Mar 22, 2012

STITTSVILLE, Ontario – The Canadian government, dealing with signs of an overheated property market, is ready to tighten mortgage insurance rules again if necessary, Finance Minister Jim Flaherty said on Thursday.

Mr. Flaherty also chided bank executives for asking the government to impose more restrictions, noting that the banks are the entities that offer mortgages.

Canada’s banking regulator, trying to curb risks posed by record-high levels of household debt, said this week it wanted lenders to be more transparent about their mortgage businesses.

Mr. Flaherty has imposed tougher requirements for government-backed mortgages three times since 2008.

“With respect to tightening up the mortgage insurance market we’ve done it three times … and we watch, we monitor the market, and if we have to tighten it some more we will,” he told reporters in Stittsville, Ontario.

“The new housing market produces a lot of jobs in Canada so there’s a balance that needs to be addressed. I’d like the market to correct itself, quite frankly, if it can.”

Mr. Flaherty said he had noted indications of softening in the Toronto condominium market, which he said was a good sign.

Canada’s household debt-to-income ratio hit a record high of 151.9% last year, largely the result of mortgage borrowing. The ratio dipped slightly in the fourth quarter but at 150.6% was not far off the record.

Mr. Flaherty said “it was a bit odd” that some banks were pressing him for tighter rules.

“We have bank executives in Canada saying ’You know, really the rules on insured mortgages should be tightened up’. They must forget that they are actually the ones that issue the mortgages — it’s their market, it’s not my market,” he said.

Since 2008, Mr. Flaherty has lowered the maximum amortization period for new mortgages to 30 years from 40 years, raised minimum down payments required to qualify for government insurance, and required all borrowers to qualify for a five-year fixed-rate mortgage to get insurance.

If he decided to act again, Mr. Flaherty could announce new measures in his March 29 budget.

Mr. Flaherty, who has promised to cut spending to eliminate the federal government’s budget deficit by the 2015-16 fiscal year, said he would be proposing moderate cutbacks in the budget.

“This is not an austerity program,” he said, adding the focus would be on long-term growth, prosperity, innovation and sustainable social programs.

TIME TO MOVE

Price, sales records expected this year
Could reignite calls for tighter lending rulesGarry Marr, Financial Post
Published: Tuesday, February 09, 2010

Canadian real estate sales and prices are poised to set records this year, according to a new forecast that is bound to reignite calls in some quarters for tighter lending rules.

The Canadian Real Estate Association, which represents 100 boards across the country, said yesterday it expects existing-home sales to reach 527,300, a 13.3% increase from a year ago and a 1.2% increase from the record high set in 2007.

The new-home market appears to be picking up steam, too. Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. said there were 186,300 starts in January on a seasonally adjusted annualized basis, the highest level of new construction since October 2008.

Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney has warned about rising levels of household debt, which is reaching record levels. Finance Minister Jim Flaherty has suggested he is prepared to tighten mortgage requirements and continues to monitor the market.

"One of the legitimate concerns of the Finance Minister might be if you make qualifying for mortgage default insurance prematurely restrictive that it will quell housing activity even as erosion in affordability continues," said Gregory Klump, chief economist with CREA.

There are have been some rumblings that the government is considering new rules that would require buyers who need mortgage insurance to have at least 10% down and amortize their mortgage over just 25 years instead of the current 35 years.

Anybody with less than a 20% downpayment must get mortgage insurance, if they are borrowing from a financial institution governed by the Bank Act. Mr. Klump's group contends the market is going to correct on its own in the second half of 2010. CREA has called for sales to drop 7.1% in 2011. The group says that while prices will rise by 5.4% in 2010, to a record high of $337,500, they will drop by 1.5% in 2011.

That view of the housing market is not out of step with some economists, who say that once interest rates rise and inventory levels increase, price increases will shrink. Year-over-year price increases in some markets, such as Toronto, have been around 20% for the past few months.

"There is still a sense of urgency to get into the market. The market will continue to be strong over the next few months," said Benjamin Tal, senior economist with CIBC World Markets, adding he could see new construction also touching 200,000 starts before beginning to fall.

Part of that urgency in the housing sector is being driven by the introduction of the harmonized sales tax in Ontario and British Columbia on July 1. The tax would apply to real estate services and could increase the cost of buying a home by a few thousand dollars.

"It's a factor fuelling a higher level of activity in Ontario and British Columbia," Mr. Klump said. "What's more Canadian than avoiding taxes?"

Elton Ash, vice-president of Re/ Max of Western Canada, said he thinks the forecast put out yesterday was a little optimistic for 2010, specifically the 4.2% price increase for British Columbia. "But I also think the market will be better in 2011 [than CREA]."

Mr. Ash is actually in favour of some measures to cool the market, such as reducing the amortization period back to 25 years. But he wonders whether increasing the downpayment will take some people out of the housing market.

"I think leaving it at 5% would be okay," Mr. Ash said.

Photo by: Janet Leadbeater