LISTINGS DOWN, PRICES UP

Listings remain down in Calgary resale housing market
Pressure on prices which continue to rise
By Mario Toneguzzi 
Calgary Herald February 3, 2014

CALGARY - Pressure on prices in Calgary’s resale housing market continued in January as MLS listings remained at lower levels compared with a year ago.

According to the Calgary Real Estate Board, new listings of 2,393 for the month were down 4.01 per cent from January 2013 and active listings were off by 18.16 per cent to 2,524.

With sales growing by 17.17 per cent to 1,440, that help spike prices to record levels for the month.

CREB said the median price jumped by 6.71 per cent to $417,250 while the average MLS sale price rose by 5.09 per cent to $462,168. The board, in releasing its official statistics on Monday, said the overall benchmark price in the city, which if what it calls typical property sales, rose by 9.46 per cent to $429,100.

According to Mike Fotiou, associate broker with First Place Realty, January also set a record for most luxury home sales for the month. There were 41 MLS transactions of at least $1 million, eclipsing the previous record of 36 set in 2007.

Last year, Calgary experienced a record year for total luxury home sales of 727 with 10 months setting records. The only months in 2013 that didn’t set luxury home sale records were January and December.

Grace Yan, a realtor with RE/MAX Real Estate (Central) in Calgary, said property inventory has steadily declined over the past year due to a high volume of migration of people to the city, a low unemployment rate and better job opportunities.

“As a result, turnkey properties that are well priced, whether it’s a condo, fixer-upper, starter homes to high-end luxury homes, are selling within days and realtors are lined up outside taking turns for showings resulting in competing offers selling well above list price,” she said. “The market is currently so competitive that we are seeing unconditional or minimal condition offers and I’ve recently seen offers even as high as $70,000 over list and selling within the first day.

“The shortage of listings is really tough on buyers and disappointing when they place their best offer on their perfect home and not to even be close to other competing offers. On the other hand it’s excellent for the sellers who are pleasantly surprised what their properties are selling for. We typically see listing inventory rise come the spring and summer. Real estate, like any other investment, has its ups and downs. It’s just trying to find the right time and the right place in the current hot market.”

The inventory of active listings in Calgary year-over-year hasn’t been positive since February 2011.

Ann-Marie Lurie, CREB’s chief economist, said the overall trend of a declining inventory in the resale housing market has been around since March 2011.

“They had actually too much for a period of time. There was really an excess amount of inventory,” she said. “And a lot of that was working through the system . . . There was over supply in the market at that time frame.

“It’s really over the past year and into this year that we’ve seen those levels to continue to decline . . . They’ve been falling. What I’ve been watching has been that rate of decline which had actually started to ease . . . Towards the beginning of 2013, and into 2012, we were in those high 20 per cent declines, like almost 30 per cent declines, over the previous year. As you go through the later portion of 2013, the levels came off a bit. It’s still declining but not declining as much.”

She said sales have been increasing at a greater rate than the level of new listings.

In January, MLS sales for different housing categories and their percentage increase from last year were: single-family, 974, 10.93 per cent; condo apartment, 260, 27.45 per cent; condo townhouse, 206, 40.14 per cent; and towns, 251, 2.45 per cent.

The average sale prices and their annual hikes were: single-family, $520,686, 4.80 per cent; condo apartment, $314,678, 12.36 per cent; condo townhouse, $371,638, 15.92 per cent; and towns, $379,053, 8.54 per cent.

The benchmark prices and their year-over-year growth were: single-family, $476,700, 9.11 per cent; condo apartment, $280,600, 11.66 per cent; condo townhouse, $308,100, 8.72 per cent; and towns, $346,500, 5.26 per cent.

“Listings are low in Calgary due to a number of factors. However one of the biggest is the lack of housing options available in Calgary and region due to the combination of increased demand through population growth, the flood zone financing and insurance issues and lack of new product readily available,” said Don Campbell, senior analyst with the Real Estate Investment Network.

“This reduction in housing options brings pause to the homeowner who was considering selling their homes to move within the city or region. When homeowners do not have confidence that they will be able to find an appropriate property to replace the one they are considering to sell, then they delay the decision.”

Also on Monday, TD Economics released a housing report forecasting sales in Calgary to grow by 5.8 per cent this year and by another 2.1 per cent in 2015. It forecast the average price for existing home sales to rise by 3.5 per cent this year and by 1.2 per cent next year.

The report said Calgary’s sales to new listings ratio was 70.2 per cent in 2013 and forecasts that to rise to 73.1 per cent in 2014 before falling back to 69.9 per cent in 2015.

TD also said the percentage of income an average household would have to devote to mortgage payments in Calgary in 2013 was 24.9 per cent in 2013 and it is forecast to rise to 25.0 per cent this year but fall back to 24.6 per cent in 2015.

Diana Petramala, economist with TD Economics, said current interest rates are likely unsustainable, nor are they expected to increase to more normal levels in the near future.

“Overall, given the expectations of a modest increase in interest rates, home prices are likely roughly 10 per cent overvalued,” she said of the national housing market. “Housing is very regional, and some markets are more vulnerable than others. For instance, the overvaluation in Toronto, Vancouver, Montreal and Ottawa is likely more significant than that found in markets in the Prairie and Atlantic Regions.

“Looking forward, the combination of softer demand and rising supply of homes for sale on the market will likely pull some steam out of home price growth. Slower home price growth, rising incomes and only modestly rising interest rates will help keep housing in check over the next few years.”

Photo By: Sepehr Ehsani

OUT OF STOCK

Sellers' market for resale in Calgary
By Claire Young
Calgary Herald November 8, 2013 

Despite a recent rise in the number of new listings, resale housing in the city remains a sellers’ market, says the Calgary Real Estate Board.

“Price growth and tighter market conditions have encouraged some of the recent rise in new listings,” says chief economist Ann-Marie Lurie of CREB in a news release.

“This is a trend worth noting as the rise is easing some of the tightness in the market. Despite some movement, sellers’ market conditions persist.”

New resale listings of all kinds of housing in Calgary totaled 2,522 units in October, up nine per cent from 2,312 during the same month last year.

New listings have been down in other months this year, meaning the number of new listings so far this year is on par with the same time last year.

From Jan. 1 to the end of October, there were 29,358 new listings compared with 29,333 during the same period last year.

In October, there were 1,953 total sales of resale housing of all kinds, up 17.7 per cent from 1,659 sales last year.

Homes also sold faster, spending on average 40 days on market in October compared with 46 days during the same month in 2012. The average sale price for homes of all kinds rose last month to $458,876, up five per cent compared with $437,030 a year earlier.

There were 1,739 new listings of single-family resale homes in Calgary in October, up 7.6 per cent from 1,615 during the same month last year.

Meanwhile, the pace of sales continued to pick up, selling in an average of 38 days last month compared to 43 days in October 2012.

The average price of single-family homes increased 4.7 per cent to $516,244 in October, up from $492,772 last year.

Sellers are commanding an extra half per cent this month on the final sale price compared to the same time last month, earning 97.78 per cent of the list price.

NORTHWEST FLEXES MUSCLES

Of the 1,336 sales of MLS-listed single-family homes in the city, the northwest quadrant of Calgary was the most popular with homebuyers in October, says the Calgary Real Estate Board

The board’s Zone A, roughly the city’s northwest, saw 463 resale houses trade hands at an average sale price of $530,892.

There were 357 sales in October in the board’s Zone C, roughly the city’s southwest, at an average price of $654,889.


Meanwhile, the board’s Zone D — roughly southeast Calgary — logged 266 transactions of single-family homes at an average price of $479,149. In the board’s Zone B, roughly the city’s northeast, 250 homes changed hands at an average price of $330,599.

FAVOURING THE SELLER

Calgary housing market soaring with sales and price hikes
Strong sellers’ conditions as listings down
By Mario Toneguzzi 
Calgary Herald November 1, 2013

Calgary’s resale housing market continued to soar in October with strong year-over-year hikes in both sales and prices.

According to the Calgary Real Estate Board, MLS sales of 1,953 for the month were up 17.72 per cent from a year ago as the average sale price rose five per cent to $458,876 while the median price saw an increase of 5.96 per cent to $409,000.

“The October Calgary real estate market kept a consistent absorption rate between two to 2.2 months worth of inventory. This places us in a strong sellers’ market,” said Robyn Moser, a realtor with CIR Realty in the city.

“Attributes of a sellers’ market are, competing offers, listed home selling in the first two weeks or sooner, sellers being able to dictate the terms of the negotiations and not having to settle for much less than realistic asking prices. All consistent with our October experiences.”

Although new listings for the month were up 9.08 per cent to 2,522, active listings at the end of the month were down 16.19 per cent to 3,841.

The average days on the market to sell a property dropped from 45 a year ago to 40 in October.
Moser said housing activity in Calgary may be fuelled by a number of factors: seasonal fall peak activities with people wanting to purchase and move into homes before winter sets in; investor speculators coming into the market due to the flood impact in June; corporations reorganizing and centralizing back to Calgary and Edmonton; and rental rates increasing.

“Buyers had to react to this market by acting quickly when homes came available for sale, being prepared to pay asking price or above and ensuring they were prequalified and prepared for condition days of seven days or less in order to get their offers accepted,” said Moser.

Sales and prices were up across all housing categories in the city during the month.

In the single-family home market, there were 1,336 MLS sales, up 14.29 per cent from last year with the average sale price increasing by 4.76 per cent to $516,244 and the median price rising by 5.12 per cent to $452,000.

The condo apartment category saw sales rise by 24.35 per cent to 337. The average sale price was up 6.76 per cent to $309,415 and the median price rose by 8.80 per cent to $272,000.

In the condo townhouse market, sales of 280 were up 27.85 per cent with the average price rising by 13.49 per cent to $365,037 and the median price up by 8.29 per cent to $319,450.

The towns surrounding Calgary saw sales jump by 22.04 per cent to 382 with the average price increasing by 10.54 per cent to $380,350 and the median price up 8.11 per cent to $360,000.

“Price growth and tighter market conditions have encouraged some of the recent rise in new listings,” said Ann-Marie Lurie, chief economist at the real estate board. “This is a trend worth noting as the rise is easing some of the tightness in the market. Despite some movement, sellers’ market conditions persist.”

Employment growth, strong net migration, lack of rental product and low mortgage rates have contributed to the rise in housing demand over the past two years, she said.

“Meanwhile, supply levels have not kept pace, causing prices to push up,” added Lurie.

LOOKING NORTH

Demand increases for resale homes
By Josh Skapin 
Calgary Herald October 4, 2013  

Sales of single-family resale homes climbed 20 per cent in September compared to sales a year earlier, with tight market conditions creating higher prices, says the Calgary Real Estate Board.

“The impact of the floods likely boosted sales throughout July and August, and it appears as though some of that additional demand is starting to ease,” says chief economist Ann-Marie Lurie of CREB.

“Nonetheless, sales growth remains strong, in part because net migration has been stronger than anticipated and rental product is in short supply.”

Net migration describes the inflow of people to the city minus the outflow.

During September, 1,354 homes changed hands, up 20 per cent from 1,126 during the same time in 2012, says CREB.

The benchmark price of single-family homes in Calgary was $463,700 in September, a seven per cent upswing from $432,900 during the same month last year. The benchmark price is that of a typical home based on a formula that uses various factors to ensure accurate comparisons.

“While prices show strong year-over-year gains, if the level of new listings continues to improve relative to sales activity, prices should level off for the remainder of the year,” says Lurie.

Homebuyers have seen about the same selection this year compared to a year ago. There were 18,949 new listings between Jan. 1 and the end of September, a slight decline of 0.2 per cent from 18,881 during the same span in 2012.

However, the market saw a turnaround for new listings in September.

Last month, 1,975 single-family resale homes were added to the market, five per cent more than the 1,887 during this time last year.

From Jan. 1 to the end of September, 13,006 single-family homes were sold on Calgary’s resale market, a seven per cent improvement over the 12,186 transactions during the same period last year.

The quadrant with the most single-family house sales in the city during September was the northwest.

The board’s Zone A, which roughly consists of the northwest, finished the month with 467 transactions.

The next busiest quadrant was the board’s Zone C with 357 homes changing hands during September. This zone roughly consists of southwest Calgary.

At the same time, the board’s Zone D had 299 deals, while 231 homes sold in the board’s Zone B. Zone D roughly covers the southeast quadrant and Zone B is mostly the northeast side.

NORTHWEST LEADS REST

The two communities that saw the highest single-family home sales in the city in September were both in northwest Calgary.

Tuscany led the city in sales with 34 deals at an average sale price of $535,688, says the Calgary Real Estate Board. Panorama Hills had the second highest sales with 31 transactions at an average price of $487,477.

For information, visit creb.com

AUGUST RUSH

Calgary home sales sizzling
Number of homes sold in August much higher than expected
CBC NewsSeptember 4, 2013

The hot Calgary real estate market finished the summer with higher than expected home sales in August and a new record set for the benchmark price of a single family home.

A new report from the Calgary Real Estate Board (CREB) shows the number of home resales were up 30 per cent for the month of August compared to the same time last year.

The price tags were also up last month with the benchmark price of a single family home set at almost $465,000 — an increase of 7.4 per cent and a record high.

The benchmark price this year is $13,000 higher than 2007 but CREB admits it has not adjusted for inflation.

Anne-Marie Lurie, the chief economist with CREB, said the June flooding and a possible increase in interest rates may have spurred people to buy.

"Some of those renters that were displaced chose to jump into ownership a lot sooner and people who were already in the market looking for a home may have sped up that decision increasing that demand."

Continuing trend

Realtor Doug Hayden said homes listed between $400,000 and $450,000 are generally selling within days.
"I don't see prices going backwards. I think this is the new market," said Hayden.

The CREB report shows condominium prices and sales have also increase by seven per cent compared to the same time last year, but not have reached the levels of 2007.

For Video: http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/story/2013/09/04/calgary.html

STAY STRONG

Calgary MLS sales in August on pace for 2nd highest ever
August 2005 set the record
By Mario Toneguzzi
Calgary Herald August 23, 2013

CALGARY — Calgary home sales are on pace for the highest August total since 2005 and the second highest on record for the month, says a Calgary realtor.

Mike Fotiou, associate broker of First Place Realty, said month-to-date between August 1-21 there have been 1,462 MLS sales in the city, up 32.4 per cent from last year.

That’s down from the 1,516 sales pace set in August 2005 for the same period. Sales ended up at 2,326 for the entire month of August in 2005.

According to the Calgary Real Estate Board, for the first three weeks of August, the average sale price increased by 10.14 per cent to $456,105 and active listings of 4,089 were down 24.57 per cent.

Tanya Eklund, with RE/MAX Real Estate (Central) in Calgary, said there are so many factors that have helped the real estate market reach such impressive numbers.

“The flood did throw a wrench into things in some communities, yet we have seen other communities flourish from the flood. As long as the price of oil stays strong, the pipeline out east goes forward, the vacancy rate stays low, all of these will contribute to the continued strength in our economy,” said Eklund in a live Herald web chat on the real estate market with Ann-Marie Lurie, CREB’s chief economist and Don Campbell, senior analyst and founding partner of the Real Estate Investment Network.

“We are in a seller’s market currently I would say. I base it on number of sales versus listings and I also consider days on market. We are fairly low in inventory based on last year and our sales have increased substantially.”

Campbell said Calgary entered the year with a real estate market that was performing exactly how it should have been, based on its underlying economics.

“While the world turmoil was continuing to grow, Calgary’s economy almost felt sheltered from the storm. Economic growth, population growth, housing demand right on trend ... then the floods hit and turned the city and its market upside down,” he said.

He said, now post flood, the numbers will not be indicative of the actual underlying market and although will still look good, they won’t be reflective of how the market is really performing.

“The bottom line is this: the results of this flood will play a role in the housing numbers for at least 12 months in all cities and towns affected by it and will skew the market health readings,” he said.

Lurie said strong resale growth numbers will likely persist for much of this year, outside of the flood, as migration levels posted stronger than expected levels, supporting stronger than expected demand growth.

“The housing market will continue to benefit due to strong fundamentals, assuming the energy sector remains strong,” she said.

WITHIN A HAIR

Resale home prices rise to near record
By Claire Young
Calgary Herald April 5, 2013

Fewer houses for sale and greater demand are pushing single-family resale housing prices up to near historical averages, says the Calgary Real Estate Board.

The average price rose to $518,392 in March, up 9.6 per cent from $472,698 during the same month last year.

This is within a hair of the new record of $518,500 for the average resale price for single-family homes logged in February, which beat the old high mark of $506,700 set in July 2007.

“Tighter rental conditions and continued employment growth has supported housing demand growth,” says chief economist Ann-Marie Lurie of CREB. “However, for those looking for more affordable single family home products, their choices continue to narrow.”

There were 3,194 new resale listings in Calgary in March, down almost five per cent compared to 3,348 during the same time last year.

For the first three months of 2013, the number of new listings was 8,358, down 4.6 per cent from 8,761.

“Less resale product available to consumers is ultimately limiting sales growth,” says CREB president Becky Walters in a news release. “In addition, resale homes are selling in less time and with continued upward pressure on prices.”

Listings of single-family resale homes in Calgary saw a year-over-year drop, declining to 2,239 in March, down 4.5 per cent from 2,346.

March’s benchmark price —that of a typical home based on a formula that uses various factors to ensure accurate comparisons — also rose to $446,500 in March, up 8.9 per cent from $411,000.

New listings of single-family homes under $500,000 are declining at double-digit rates, says Lurie. She predicts this will drive potential Calgary homebuyers to consider surrounding towns, condominiums or the new home market.

In Calgary, total sales of single-family homes dropped to 1,480 in March, down six per cent from 1,575.

The board’s Zone A, which is roughly the city’s northwest, saw 541 transactions at an average sale of $507,545 and 33 days on the market.

The two communities in the city that saw the most sales activity in March were both in Zone D, in the southeast.

Cranston and McKenzie Towne both logged 41 sales. The highest average sales were logged in the board’s Zone C in the southwest community of The Slopes, with two sales averaging $1.72 million.

OUT-OF-TOWN SALES DROP

Total MLS sales of resale homes in the communities surrounding Calgary dropped by two per cent in March compared to the same month last year, says the Calgary Real Estate Board.

Sales fell to 364, down from 372 sales, while new listings dropped significantly during this time to 662 in March, down 15.6 per cent from 785 last year.

But average prices rose to $365,002 in March, up 4.7 per cent from $348,474, says the board — and benchmark prices also increased to $336,100, up 7.1 per cent from $348,474.

The benchmark price is that of a typical home determined using various factors to ensure accurate comparisons.

MARKET CONFIDENCE

Resale condo pace reflects 'confidence'
By Josh Skapin
Calgary Herald September 7, 2012

Total sales of resale condos in Calgary continued to climb in August, rising 19 per cent compared to the same month last year, says the Calgary Real Estate Board.

There were 556 sales of apartments and townhouses last month, up from 468 transactions in August 2011, says the board.

The biggest increase came in townhouses, which saw a 31 per cent hike in resale activity last month compared to the same month last year.

But the average resale price for townhouses in Calgary in August was $281,941, 3.45 per cent lower than the same period last year.

“Some continue to foresee a scenario where price declines are looming in the local housing market, especially given national trends,” says chief economist Ann-Marie Lurie in a news release.

“There is no question economic concerns can threaten our housing recovery. However, to date, Calgary housing market consumers are exhibiting confidence evidenced through the pick-up in sales activity across all housing types.”

While townhouse prices are down, the average resale price of condo apartments was 7.22-per-cent higher last month than in 2011, rising to $281,941 per unit.

The area in Calgary with the highest condo apartment and townhouse resale activity in the city last month was in Zone C, which roughly corresponds to the city’s southwest.

Not only did the area have 288 deals, it also had the highest average resale price at $314,467.

Zone A, which roughly corresponds to the city’s northwest, saw the second highest sales totals and average price.

The average price in Zone A was $294,867 for 155 sales last month.

Zone D, which translates to southeast Calgary, had 66 transactions last month at an average rate of $287,340.

At the same time, Zone B, which covers northeast, Calgary saw 47 units change hands at an average price of $172,234.

DID YOU KNOW?

The biggest increase in condo apartment resale activity in Calgary has come in the $200,000 to $299,999 price range, says the Calgary Real Estate Board.

To Aug.1, 1,132 units in this price range changed hands in Calgary, up from only 949 sales during the same month last year.

The $200,000 to $299,999 price range led all condo sales in the city in August, alone, at 151.