MOMENTUM IN 13

Strong momentum forecast for Calgary housing market into 2013
RE/MAX report says Calgary sales to continue strong
By Mario Toneguzzi
Calgary Herald November 14, 2012

CALGARY — Calgary’s housing market is forecast to remain strong in 2013 following increased sales activity this year, according to real estate firm RE/MAX.

In its Housing Market Outlook 2013, released Wednesday, the company said MLS sales in Calgary are expected to finish this year at 25,500 transactions, up 13.5 per cent from the previous year and the forecast is for sales to grow by another 10 per cent in 2013 to 28,100.

Meanwhile, the average MLS sales price this year is estimated to increase by 2.5 per cent to $413,000 and rise by another two per cent in 2013 to $423,000.

“Calgary is expected to head into 2013 with a level of momentum not seen in years. Solid economic performance and strong consumer confidence are forecast to propel the residential housing market forward,” said RE/MAX.

It said Canadian real estate markets demonstrated remarkable resilience in 2012 — with home sales up or on par in 65 per cent of major centres — despite considerable headwinds in terms of tighter financing and economic uncertainty abroad. The trend is expected to continue, with homebuying activity propped-up by low interest rates and an improved economic picture in 2013, according to the report.

Nationally, an estimated 454,000 homes will change hands in 2012, falling one per cent short of the 2011 level of 456,749. Canadian home sales are expected to almost mirror the 2012 performance next year, holding steady at 454,000 units. The average price of a Canadian home is expected to remain stable at $364,000 in 2012 — on par with the figure reported in 2011. Values are expected to appreciate nominally in 2013, rising to $366,500, one per cent above year-end 2012 levels.

“Looking forward, there are a number of factors on the horizon that will serve to bolster residential activity in 2013,” said Elton Ash, regional executive vice-president for RE/MAX of Western Canada. “Canada’s economic performance is expected to show signs of improvement, particularly in the latter half of the year, which should bode well for housing markets across the country. Historically low interest rates will also continue to drive healthy homebuying activity.”

The RE/MAX report said Calgary’s residential real estate market appears poised for growth.

This year’s level of sales activity will be the highest since 2007 when 31,897 sales were recorded.

“Recovery is underway in the city, with some areas reporting greater strength than others,” said the report. “Calgary’s inner core has been particularly robust, in large part due to the proximity to the downtown. Activity surged this spring in neighbourhoods such as Killarney, Hillhurst, Marda Loop, Mount Royal, and the Foothills, pushing up values to heights not seen in recent years.

“Peripheral areas also experienced stronger demand, but price increases were less pronounced. By mid-year, however, purchasers had settled into a more normal buying pattern. Balanced market conditions emerged, with first-time buyers working in tandem with moveup purchasers.”

The report said single-family homes were most sought after, especially under the $450,000 price point, where 67.5 per cent of overall residential sales occurred.

Condos represented about 16 per cent of total residential sales in the city.