YYC & YYZ OUTPERFORM

Calgary and Toronto office markets outperform
Calgary has nearly 6 million square feet under construction
BY MARIO TONEGUZZI
CALGARY HERALD SEPTEMBER 25, 2014

CALGARY - Lacklustre job creation continues to impact demand for commercial real estate in Canada, but office markets in Calgary and Toronto are outperforming the rest of the country, according to the CBRE Limited’s National Office and Industrial Third Quarter 2014 Statistical Summary released on Thursday.

The report said tepid job growth has undermined office leasing activity in Canada, but has been unable to stem an historic industrial construction boom.

“The Canadian economy may not be firing on all cylinders, but the Toronto and Calgary office markets turned out quite a performance last quarter,” said John O’Bryan, chairman of CBRE. “It was a bit of a have or have not summer. The standout office markets were exactly that, while other areas were fairly quiet. One assumes that strong office leasing activity in core markets will translate into more widespread office demand in the year ahead.”

The national office vacancy rate dropped for the first time in two years, retreating 10 basis points to 10.3 per cent in the third quarter. Office vacancy had been increasing at a slower pace in recent quarters. Demand for downtown office space in Toronto and Calgary tipped the scale and resulted in a long awaited drop in vacancy, said the report.

Calgary’s overall office vacancy rate of 10.1 per cent fell from 10.6 per cent in the second quarter while in Toronto it dropped from 9.6 per cent to 9.2 per cent. Calgary’s downtown market saw vacancy drop to 9.1 per cent from 10 per cent and Toronto’s downtown market dipped to 5.3 per cent from 6.1 per cent.

In the third quarter, Calgary’s office market had 511,021 square feet of positive absorption and Toronto’s was 712,564 square feet.

Office space currently under construction is 5.6 million square feet in Calgary and 7.1 million square feet in Toronto. Nationally, there is 21.7 million square feet of office space under construction.

Greg Kwong, executive vice-president and regional managing director with CBRE in Calgary, said the drop in vacancy in Calgary is a positive sign but on the negative side the amount of sublet space in the downtown as a percentage of the overall vacancy is at a fairly high level.

For example, in the downtown that percentage was 41.6 per cent in the third quarter, up slightly from 40.4 per cent in the second quarter.

“Any time it’s over 35 per cent of the overall vacancy that means there’s a lot of companies mostly oil and gas that are giving up space. If that continues, that will create negative pressure on the downtown core,” said Kwong. “But overall there seems to be a good sense of optimism. There are deals happening.”

The CBRE report said the Canadian industrial market continues to be characterized by limited availability as tenants remain hungry for industrial space across the country. Demand outweighs supply in most areas, especially for modern distribution facilities.

The overall industrial availability rate fell 10 basis points quarter-over-quarter to 5.3 per cent. In Calgary, it is 4.5 per cent, down from 4.6 per cent in the previous quarter.

There is 4.4 million square feet of industrial space under construction in Calgary and 19.9 million square feet across the country.

“The industrial market is very solid,” said Kwong. “In every size, category or asset class, there’s leasing activity whereas a year ago that was not the case. There was only hot spots in certain size ranges.”

TOO FEW

Lack of inventory fuelling price growth for Calgary housing market

Strong economy and influx of professionals

BY MARIO TONEGUZZI

CALGARY HERALD OCTOBER 10, 2013

CALGARY — A continued lack of inventory is fueling house price growth in Calgary.

The Royal LePage House Price Survey, released Thursday, shows strong year-over-year price increase in all housing types in the city as competition for homes is being driven by a strong economy and the influx of professionals.

The survey said average home prices were particularly buoyant in the third quarter with detached bungalows increasing 7.2 per cent year-over-year to $465,411, standard condominiums increasing 5.6 per cent to $263,087 and standard two-storey homes increasing 3.4 per cent to $446,411.

“A sustained period of low housing inventory coupled with a healthy economy and an influx of corporate sector workers has pushed prices up further,” said Ted Zaharko, broker/owner, Royal LePage Foothills. “For some time now too many homebuyers have been chasing too few properties.”

He said inventory is low in all categories, but particularly in detached bungalows, which are much rarer in Calgary compared to cities like Edmonton.

“Buyers are acting very quickly when homes are put up for sale, which is leading to frequent multiple offer situations on all housing types,” said Zaharko. “The aggressiveness of buyers is making it very difficult for first-time buyers to break into the market.”

He said third quarter activity was the most robust the Calgary market has seen in years, with buyers eagerly making offers on the limited inventory. In addition to normal demand, there was some extra activity coming from flood victims who were looking to move to locations on higher ground.

Nationally, the average price of a home in Canada increased between 1.2 per cent and 4.1 per cent in the third quarter of 2013.

The survey showed a year-over-year average price increase of 3.7 per cent to $418,686 for standard two-storey homes, while detached bungalows rose 4.1 per cent to $381,811. During the same period, the average price for standard condominiums saw a more moderate increase, rising 1.2 per cent to $246,530. Sales volumes surged in a number of regions, as Canadians re-entered the housing market after sitting on the sidelines for more than a year — marking the end of the most significant housing market correction since the 2008-2009 global recession, said Royal LePage.

Early signs in October indicate Calgary’s housing market is continuing its trend of increased sales and prices.

According to the Calgary Real Estate Board, month-to-date up to Wednesday, there have been 624 MLS sales in the city, up 37.14 per cent from the same period last year. The average sale price has increased by 7.82 per cent to $460,509 while the median price is up 6.96 per cent to $415,000.

New listings of 850 have risen by 10.10 per cent but active listings are down by 22.73 per cent to 3,927. Average days on the market to sell have also dropped by 6.52 per cent to 43 days.

“Prices are continuing to climb because of supply and demand. We have significant demand and we have across the board limited supply regardless of the price ranges. There is not a substantial variety to choose from and in some cases, such as in the case of bungalows, there has been a short supply in Calgary and new listings often get multiple offers,” said Rachelle Starnes, a realtor with Royal LePage Foothills in Calgary.

“In support of this statement, we are seeing in the Royal LePage offices more quick sales and multiple offers in the last quarter than previous quarters. The buyers are anxious and know that once a new listing comes onto the market, they need to act quickly. Having said that, there are still good listings sitting on the market that are a puzzle as to why they are not getting the proper activity. We just listed a property in the community of Bel Aire this week that will sell for a minimum of 10 per cent more than before the flooding occurred and may even see multiple offers at the higher price. Prices in the higher ground areas are escalating with the higher demand in the central areas of the City.”

Photo By: tommaync