Wednesday, September 8, 2010

BANK OF CANADA RATE ANNOUCEMENT



Bank of Canada edges up interest rates

By Andrew Mayeda, 8 Sep 2010

As expected, the Bank of Canada on Wednesday raised its benchmark lending rate by 25 basis points to one per cent.

My colleague Paul Vieira at the Financial Post covered the central bank's interest-rate announcement today.

Paul notes that the bank's accompanying statement was not as hawkish as many economists had been expecting. In the statement, the bank predicts Canada's recovery will be "slightly more gradual" than expected, but solid domestic demand and strong business investment should keep the economy humming, despite fears of a double-dip recession south of the border. Many analysts have been expecting that the bank will take a prolonged pause from raising rates, as the global economic picture clears.

What does this mean politically? The big challenge for the Harper government over the coming months will be managing the economic expectations of the Canadian electorate. As the government winds down its stimulus spending, there is expected to be very few fiscal goodies in the bag for Finance Minister Jim Flaherty to spread around. If the government stays in power through the new year, Flaherty could be in the position of having to table a relatively lean budget that begins to lay out how the government will reduce the deficit--not a process that lends itself easily to big campaign slogans.

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